Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.007912 0.008900 0.009980 0.011251 0.012709 0.014333 0.016284
2025-01-12 0.006112 0.007395 0.008919 0.010873 0.013329 0.016332 0.020315
2025-01-19 0.005138 0.006516 0.008244 0.010590 0.013724 0.017812 0.023623
2025-01-26 0.004555 0.006002 0.007897 0.010592 0.014383 0.019603 0.027480
2025-02-02 0.004269 0.005818 0.007929 0.011061 0.015677 0.022363 0.033028
2025-02-09 0.003875 0.005432 0.007624 0.010996 0.016166 0.023986 0.037083
2025-02-16 0.003597 0.005174 0.007462 0.011101 0.016893 0.026019 0.042033
2025-02-23 0.003293 0.004846 0.007157 0.010942 0.017169 0.027346 0.045972
2025-03-02 0.003105 0.004670 0.007060 0.011089 0.017939 0.029552 0.051729
2025-03-09 0.002890 0.004432 0.006842 0.011010 0.018309 0.031102 0.056505
2025-03-16 0.002624 0.004089 0.006424 0.010552 0.017965 0.031335 0.058795
2025-03-23 0.002462 0.003903 0.006245 0.010483 0.018298 0.032827 0.063768
2025-03-30 0.002404 0.003889 0.006363 0.010963 0.019727 0.036639 0.074307
2025-04-06 0.002203 0.003619 0.006022 0.010588 0.019508 0.037228 0.078113
2025-04-13 0.002039 0.003400 0.005752 0.010314 0.019447 0.038116 0.082724
2025-04-20 0.001933 0.003274 0.005635 0.010316 0.019934 0.040202 0.090491
2025-04-27 0.001900 0.003275 0.005747 0.010771 0.021404 0.044604 0.104733
2025-05-04 0.001800 0.003146 0.005607 0.010708 0.021765 0.046585 0.113252
2025-05-11 0.001728 0.003065 0.005551 0.010810 0.022495 0.049515 0.124878
2025-05-18 0.001633 0.002930 0.005381 0.010655 0.022629 0.051039 0.132937
2025-05-25 0.001578 0.002871 0.005352 0.010798 0.023462 0.054392 0.146961
2025-06-01 0.001503 0.002767 0.005227 0.010721 0.023767 0.056457 0.157615
2025-06-08 0.001396 0.002593 0.004948 0.010276 0.023136 0.056006 0.160399